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U.S. dollars - can not reward Farm CAS list of 100K?

In U.S. dollars, in his view during the last week, as swaps Overnight Index signal that traders expect the Federal Reserve increased rates 75 basis points over the next eight FOMC meetings. However, the next version of non-agricultural wage list is expected to show that the loss of jobs for the seventh consecutive month, while the unemployment rate in the United States is expected that the success of 4 years high by 5.6 percent. What are the chances that their salaries outside of agriculture as the list is even worse than expected, and most importantly, how these effects of dollars?
What is the market during the month of July non-farm expected salary list?

Change in non-farm salary list for forecasts of 75K, 62k return
Unemployment rate: 5.6% 5.5% forecast
Change in the list of salaries of manufacture: forecasting 40k, 33k return
Average hours and wages: 3.4% expected, 3.4%
Average weekly hours prediction of 33.7, 33.7 previous

Of the 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, the optimistic forecasts of First Trust Advisors, which calls for the reduction of jobs 10k. In the most pessimistic, once again, ING financial markets, calls for the loss of jobs 150k. May economists expect a negative pressure, but the range of estimates is very large, meaning that dealers have to wait a strong U.S. dollar volatility and financial markets as a whole, on the back and non-agricultural wage list of publications.

To determine the strength of non-agricultural wages list, see Rule 10 pieces of data, which we consider as key indicators of non-agricultural wage list. Four of the ten versions indicate a greater loss of jobs, the rate of low wages outside agriculture in the context of reading a list of expectations. More specifically, the four-week moving average, the average number of initial applications of unemployed rose to a new credit of 5 years high, while claims rose by 6 percent to 3.3 million. On the other hand, consumer confidence has improved somewhat with the decline in oil prices from record levels, and the ADP employment report showed an unexpected rise in rents. We are absent, but three key indicators that we see - Manufacturing ISM, ISM services and job cuts Challenger - since it will not be sudden, the son later on Friday and the following week.

The arguments in favour of strengthening the non-agricultural wages List

1-ADP Employment Report unexpected increases 9k VS. Expect 60k
2 interruptions at work, all the time to zero, because no new strikes were declared
In 3 of the M, the Conference Board consumer confidence improved unexpectedly

The case for non-agricultural low-wage list

1 initial unemployment claims 4-week moving average jumps to new 5-year high
2 Continuing Claims Jump 6% to 3.3 million
3 Monster.com indicators decrease from 14% in July, a year ago
4-Online help wanted index falls for 5 consecutive month

All non-agricultural list of salaries more or less than in June? (continue your reading )

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